Despite Americans’ fabulously short memories, Joe Biden’s presidency is riding on his ability to do what he sort-of promised by August 31.
And that was, unquestionably, the evacuation of all Americans who want to leave the hellhole of Afghanistan, plus the desire to rescue Afghans a) who worked with us, and whom we owe, and b) enlightened Afghans who like modernity and don’t want to live in a medieval state.
I don’t see how Biden can get everyone out in time, even allowing for his vague wording about helping the Afghans.
Vague might be the title of his Afghan policy.
In a week that saw his approval rate drop like the Phillies playoff hopes, his narrative of how things were going was contradicted within hours by others on his team. The question is was he misinformed, or stupid, or lying?
The Taliban may be relied on to allow Americans to leave. If they don’t, they will have thousands of hostages. While some Republicans thunder about America having the greatest military force in the world — and we do — what general will call for an attack if It results in the beheading of American civilians?
The threat of dead Americans is one reason Iran got away with holding American hostages for 444 days.
In a greatly delayed news announcement Tuesday afternoon, foreign policy idiot savant Biden talked about the need for speed because airport operations are being threatened by something called ISIS-K.
That sounds like a breakfast cereal, but they are (in the words of the hapless president who opened the surrender talks with the Taliban) bad hombres. Most Americans wanted to get out of Afghanistan. None wanted to leave this way, in a cloud of incompetence.
Biden acknowledged the Taliban were cooperating with our efforts to remove Americans.
However, the Taliban said they would not allow Afghans to leave, and that they would not extend the August 31 deadline for U.S. withdrawal. That was the deadline Biden himself chose.
That date is a “red line, ” the Taliban said. Breaking it would have consequences.
Are they threatening us? Yes. Why? They have the upper hand.
What happens if not all Americans have been removed by then? Biden said he had contingency plans. That’s what he said about the Taliban takeover. Not a confidence builder.
Let’s say we get all of our countrymen out, but not the Afghans, Will we start a war to rescue them?
How would America feel about a re-invasion? How would you feel about a re-invasion? How many allies would join us and how long would it take to mount?
The alternative (assuming we don’t bribe the Taliban into changing their minds) is to abandon our faithful and luckless Afghan helpers, making (another) stain on America’s honor.
This is not the worst case scenario.
It is the most likely scenario based on current facts. If the cards fall this way, it will spell the end of the Biden-Harris administration, even though the election is more than three years away.